NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24

Published 4:33 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are 1.5-point favorites as they attempt to turn around a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The game airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

Hoping to make an informed wager on Monday’s game? Check out the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) right here.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

  • When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets

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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS

  • Trae Young’s 24.2 points per game average is 4.3 fewer than Monday’s over/under.
  • Young has hit the over 27 times on a points prop this season (in 53 tries).
  • The Hawks are the NBA’s seventh-ranked scoring team (117 points per game), while the Heat are eighth defensively in terms of points conceded per game (110.9).
  • When Atlanta scores more than 110.9 points, its record is 22-18.

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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS

  • Tyler Herro is averaging 24.2 points in the 2024-25 season, 2.3 lower than Monday’s over/under.
  • Herro has gone over 29 times on a points prop this season (in 53 opportunities).
  • Miami is the NBA’s 24th-ranked team offensively (110.1 points per game), while Atlanta is 28th-ranked on defense (119.6 conceded).
  • Miami is 9-4 when scoring more points than 119.6.

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Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)

  • Against the spread, Atlanta is 27-30-0 this season.
  • Miami has 25 wins in 55 games against the spread this season.
  • Against the spread as 1.5-point favorites or more, the Hawks are 5-15.
  • As 1.5-point underdogs or more, the Heat are 10-15 against the spread.

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Pick OU:

Under (230.5)

  • In 36 games this season, the Hawks and their opponents have scored more than 230.5 total points.
  • Heat games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 230.5 points in 21 of 55 outings.
  • Atlanta’s outings this year have an average point total of 234.7, 4.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Miami’s games this season have had an average of 219.2 points, 11.3 fewer points than this game’s total.
  • The Hawks score the seventh-most points in the league this season, while the Heat’s offense puts up the 27th-most.
  • The Hawks are the league’s 29th-ranked scoring defense while the Heat are the third-ranked.

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Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)

  • The Hawks have been favorites in 19 games this season and won nine (47.4%) of those contests.
  • The Heat have come away with eight wins in the 24 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Atlanta has a record of 9-10, a 47.4% win rate, when it’s favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • This season, Miami has come away with a win six times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Hawks have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

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