Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 26

Published 8:20 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025

The Miami Heat (26-30) are at home in Southeast Division play against the Atlanta Hawks (27-31) on Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET. The Heat are 1.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the teams this season.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 116 – Hawks 112

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-3.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (229.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.0
  • The Hawks (28-30-0 ATS) have covered the spread 44.6% of the time, 3.7% more often than the Heat (25-31-0) this year.
  • Miami (15-15) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (50%) than Atlanta (22-15) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (59.5%).
  • Atlanta and its opponents have eclipsed the over/under 56.9% of the time this season (33 out of 58). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (30 out of 56).
  • As a moneyline underdog this season, the Hawks are 17-21, while the Heat are 18-13 as moneyline favorites.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • With 109.7 points per game on offense, the Heat rank 24th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, they surrender 110.7 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the league.
  • Miami is grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game (17th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 45.7 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
  • The Heat are delivering 25.9 dimes per game, which ranks them 17th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • With 12.7 turnovers per game, Miami ranks sixth in the NBA. It forces 12.6 turnovers per contest, which ranks 23rd in the league.
  • The Heat are making 13.8 treys per game (11th-ranked in NBA) this season, while putting up a 35.6% three-point percentage (17th-ranked).

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are eighth in the NBA offensively (116.7 points scored per game) and fourth-worst defensively (119 points conceded).
  • In 2024-25, Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounds (45.1 per game) and 19th in rebounds allowed (44.7).
  • The Hawks are second-best in the league in assists (29.3 per game) in 2024-25.
  • In terms of turnovers, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the league in committing them (15 per game). However it is second-best in forcing them (15.8 per game).
  • With 13.1 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34.9% from downtown, the Hawks are 15th and 20th in the NBA, respectively, in those categories.

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