Saturday’s contest that pits the No. 1 Auburn Tigers (26-2, 14-1 SEC) against the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (19-9, 8-7 SEC) at Rupp Arena has a projected final score of 81-77 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Auburn, who is a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 1 p.m. ET on March 1.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 5.5-point spread in its matchup versus Auburn. The over/under has been set at 167.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV: ABC
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Auburn -5.5
• Point total: 167.5
• Moneyline (to win): Auburn -205, Kentucky +168

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Auburn 81, Kentucky 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Auburn vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (167.5)

Auburn has compiled a 17-11-0 record against the spread this season, while Kentucky is 14-14-0. The Tigers have hit the over in 17 games, while Wildcats games have gone over 15 times. The two teams score 170.7 points per game, 3.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Auburn has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall in the past 10 games. Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Auburn Performance Insights

• The Tigers average 85.1 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while allowing 68.4 per contest (75th in college basketball). They have a +467 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 16.7 points per game.
• Auburn wins the rebound battle by 6.8 boards on average. It records 35.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 30th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 28.6 per contest.
• Auburn makes 3.4 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9.3 (51st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.9.
• The Tigers score 108.4 points per 100 possessions (fourth in college basketball), while giving up 87.2 points per 100 possessions (42nd in college basketball).
• Auburn has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 8.8 per game (seventh in college basketball action) while forcing 11 (220th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by nine points per game, with a +250 scoring differential overall. They put up 85.6 points per game (third in college basketball) and allow 76.6 per outing (310th in college basketball).
• The 34.8 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank 52nd in the country, 2.7 more than the 32.1 its opponents pull down.
• Kentucky hits 1.6 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9.9 (27th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.3.
• Kentucky forces 9.8 turnovers per game (325th in college basketball) while committing 10.2 (79th in college basketball).

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