Sunday’s contest that pits the Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-10) versus the Auburn Tigers (12-16) at Neville Arena has a projected final score of 70-66 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Mississippi State, who is a small favorite in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 3 p.m. ET on March 2.

Based on our computer prediction, Auburn projects to cover the 5.5-point spread in its matchup against Mississippi State. The over/under is listed at 134.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Mississippi State vs. Auburn Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025
• Time: 3 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Auburn, Alabama
• Venue: Neville Arena
• Line: Mississippi State -5.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -225, Auburn +185

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Mississippi State vs. Auburn Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 70, Auburn 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Auburn

• Pick ATS: Auburn (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Mississippi State has a 4-7-0 record against the spread this season compared to Auburn, who is 6-8-0 ATS. The Bulldogs have gone over the point total in five games, while Tigers games have gone over seven times. The teams score an average of 144.6 points per game, 10.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Mississippi State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall over the past 10 games. Auburn has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 games.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs’ +378 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13 points per game) is a result of scoring 76.2 points per game (37th in college basketball) while allowing 63.2 per outing (146th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 8.9 boards. It is pulling down 38.2 rebounds per game (ninth in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.3 per outing.
• Mississippi State connects on 6.8 three-pointers per game (118th in college basketball) at a 32.8% rate (118th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 its opponents make while shooting 31.1% from beyond the arc.
• The Bulldogs’ 91 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 67th in college basketball, and the 75.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 68th in college basketball.
• Mississippi State forces 16.3 turnovers per game (125th in college basketball) while committing 16.3 (242nd in college basketball action).

Auburn Performance Insights

• The Tigers outscore opponents by 3.9 points per game (posting 68.4 points per game, 113th in college basketball, and allowing 64.5 per contest, 180th in college basketball) and have a +107 scoring differential.
• Auburn is 279th in college basketball at 29.8 rebounds per game. That’s 2.4 more than the 27.4 its opponents average.
• Auburn knocks down 3.7 three-pointers per game (340th in college basketball), 1.4 fewer than its opponents.
• Auburn has come out ahead in the turnover battle by three per game, committing 16.3 (242nd in college basketball) while forcing 19.3 (24th in college basketball).

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