Falcons vs. Chargers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 13

Published 4:36 pm Saturday, November 30, 2024

Our computer model projects a victory for the Los Angeles Chargers when they face the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Dec. 1 at 1 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Chargers own the 18th-ranked offense this season (22.1 points per game), and they’ve been more effective on defense, ranking best with just 15.9 points allowed per game. In terms of total offense, the Falcons rank eighth in the NFL (361.5 total yards per game) and 25th on the other side of the ball (357 total yards allowed per game).

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Falcons vs. Chargers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Chargers (-1) Under (48) Chargers 23, Falcons 20

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 50.0%.
  • Atlanta is 5-6-0 ATS this year.
  • The Falcons have been an underdog by 1 point or more three times this year, and covered the spread in one of those games.
  • So far this year, four of Atlanta’s 11 games with a set number have gone over the point total.
  • Falcons games average 46.3 total points, 1.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Chargers Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Chargers have an implied win probability of 54.5%.
  • Los Angeles has put together a 7-3-1 ATS record so far this year.
  • When playing as at least 1-point favorites this season, the Chargers have an ATS record of 7-1.
  • A total of four out of 11 Los Angeles games this season have hit the over.
  • The over/under in this game is 48 points, 6.3 higher than the average total in Chargers games this season (postseason included).

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Falcons vs. Chargers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Chargers 22.1 15.9 23.7 18.2 20.2 13.2
Falcons 22.2 24.9 21.7 24.8 22.8 25

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